One of the many reasons Zimbabwe is in this economic mess is the sheer
incompetence of those running the nation’s affairs. Our leaders have a knack
for making a mountain out of a mole hill and thus end up focusing their time,
energy and treasure on trivial matters, the mole hill, at the expense of the
big issue, the mountain.
“Do you think it is feasible to introduce a local currency in the next
12 months considering that the state of the economy remains poor?” asked The
Standard senior reporter, Xolisani Ncube.
“Economic fundamentals need to be right before introducing our local
currency. We also need social cohesion. People must be prepared to accept it
for it to succeed. So we need those to be in place and we are working on
ensuring that we deal with the fundamentals. We can then start to talk about
the introduction of a local currency,” answered Dr John Mangudya, Governor of
the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe.
One can say things here:
a) Zimbabwe has a local currency already, it is called
Bond Note and Bond coins. Bond Note is trading at 1:1 to the US$ officially but
has traded at 3:1 to as much as 10:1. Banks have one account for $ RTGS, for
the electronic transactions of Bond Notes, and another for $ Nostro, US$. Shops
and the rest of commerce and industry all have a similar arrangement. It is
therefore nonsense to talk of introducing a local currency as if the nation
does not have one already, it is called Bond Note.
b)
If the economic fundamentals
were not right why did Zimbabwe introduce the Bond Note in 2016? And why is the
nation still failing to get the “economic fundamentals” right for a stable
local currency, it is now over a decade since the scrapping of Z$ after
inflation had soared to the dizzying heights of 500 billion per cent under
Gideon Gono’s supercharge money printing crazy?
c)
It is most
disheartening that Zimbabwe’s Minister of Finance, Professor Mthuli Ncube, and
the Governor of the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe, Dr John Mangudya; the nation’s
two most influential individuals on monetary matters: should be squabbling
about when Zimbabwe should have its own local currency when we have one
already. They should be focusing on getting the economic fundamentals so the
Bond Note is stable. If the Bond Note trading freely at 3:1 or what ever, there
is no cash and foreign currency shortages, etc., etc. the people will not care
one bit whether the local currency is called Bond Note or Zimbabwe Dollar!
Minister Ncube and Governor Mangudya are Lewis Carrol’s Tweedle Dee and
Tweedle Dum, fighting over a rattle whilst the nation is sinking deeper and
deeper into this economic hell-on-earth.
d)
It is very naive of
the Zanu PF regime to believe Zimbabwe can ever achieve the “economic
fundamentals” necessary for economic recovery much less economic prosperity
whilst the nation remains a pariah state ruled by corrupt and vote rigging
thugs.
The flood of foreign investors and lenders that Minister Ncube was
confident he will attract has never happened. As much as the investors were
impressed with Minister Ncube’s CV they were put off by Mnangagwa’s cavalier
attitude to the rule of law and democracy.
Mnangagwa promised “zero tolerance to corruption” and yet has yet to
arrest one diamond looter. He also promised free, fair and credible elections
only to blatantly rig the July 2018 elections. Mnangagwa wanted to eat his cake
and eat it too; he wanted to keep the Zanu PF dictatorship and have economic
prosperity too.
All that “Zimbabwe is open for business!” masquerading, the appointment
of Cambridge University Professor as Minister of Finance, appoint a 24 crack
team as Presidential Advisory Council members, etc., etc. were all to give the
impression Zimbabwe had changed when in reality nothing had changed.
You are right, Zimbabwe's economic fundamentals have not been right ever since Zanu PF got into power in 1980 hence the reason the economy has been in decline ever since. The regime's voodoo economic came to its own with the printing of money fuelling inflation to the world record 500 billion per cent. The regime is longing for the good-old-days it printed money as the answer to all its problems hence the talk of re-introducing the local currency as the only legal tender.
ReplyDeleteIf the regime was to start printing the Bond Notes willy-nilly people will refuse to accept it as legal tender in favour of the foreign currency. We have already seen teachers demanding that they want to be paid in US$. It is the limited supply of the Bond Notes that has helped it keep its value; start the print runs and its value will plummet!
Minister Ncube and Governor Mangudya are arguing about when they should abolish the multi-currency system so the country can go back to printing money, force everyone else to sell their foreign currency through the ruling elite controlled channels. The regime does not care that the economy will crash just as it did last time as long as the ruling elite profiteering goes through the roof!