Wednesday 10 January 2018

Mnangagwa will "no level the electoral playing field," says Mugwiji - his Achilles heel P Guramatunhu

Thank you comrade Whitlaw Mugwiji for yet another thoughtful and thought provoking article, “Even with full stomachs, democracy struggle continues”. See News Day opinion section for the full article.
“I have no doubt that Mnangagwa will address our economic challenges but he too, like Deng, will not level the electoral playing field. Even if he wanted, the army has invested a lot in deposing Mugabe, so they will not easily hand over power to the opposition,” you wrote.
“Wabaya gudo nukanwa!” (You have hit the nail on the head!) as one would say in Shona.
People are forgetting that the thugs behind the 14 November, 2017 military coup are the same individual in the shadowy Junta, the Joint Operations Command, comprising Commander Chiwenga and the posse of generals and other security chefs headed by none other than Mnangagwa himself, stage the 2008 coup to stop Tsvangirai and MDC taking over power after Mugabe and Zanu PF was defeated in that year’s March election. It is no exaggeration to say the Junta is the one that had masterminded and executed all the vote rigging, political thuggery and the wholesale looting to raise the billions of dollars to bankroll all those party activities.
Robert Mugabe owed his 37 years in power to JOC.
Mugabe would have enjoyed his life-long ambition to be life-President if he had not threatened to wrestle power from JOC members and hand it over to his wife and her G40 friends. The coup, nicknamed Operation Restore Legacy, was about restoring absolute tyrannical power back into the hands of JOC members.
After a life-time of corruption, rigging elections, political thuggery and staging coups to make sure that all political power remains in the hands of JOC members, it is therefore unthinkable that they would risk losing it by conceding to the holding of free, fair and credible elections.
 “They (coup plotters) will not easily hand over power to the opposition,” you said. I would venture to say, they will never ever hand over power to the opposition. Never ever!
“Zanu PF ichatonga! Igotonga! Igotonga!” (Zanu PF will rule! And rule! And rule!) was the first President Mnangagwa told his fellow Zanu PF coup plotters and hardliners on his return from SA after the coup. He has since rewarded his coup plotters and fellow Junta members by appointing them into powerful and influential positions. They are clearly enjoying their new found powers and flexing their political muscles as VP, Minister or whatever.
Can you imagine P Shiri or C Chiwenga being told he his lost his contested seat in the upcoming elections and the two gentlemen walking quietly into the sunset! I cannot image that.
However much many people were genuinely pleased to see the back of Robert Mugabe the fact of the matter is the coup that forced him out was illegal. To make matters worse for President Mnangagwa and his coup plotters, the coup was just one out of the string of the many illegal acts they have masterminded and executed in the last 37 years all for selfish political gain. The coup was just the latest such treasonous act and, again, for selfish political gain.
One of the main causes of Zimbabwe’s economic meltdown is that the international community, funders and would-be foreign investors were shying away from Zimbabwe because it was being seen as a lawless nation ruled by thugs. Removing Mugabe, the tyrant was a positive development but removing him in a coup was the inauspicious start the regime did not want.
Yes, the regime will gain the lost legitimacy if it can hold free, fair and credible elections and now it turns out it cannot do that either because the coup plotters, who are having a real taste of absolute political power, will not risk losing it in a free and fair election.
“Rest assured that Mnangagwa’s eye is on the economy, but never forget that his other eye is on power retention. For this new administration, everything else is secondary to these two primary objectives,” continued Mugwiji.
“Our struggle for democracy continues unabated. Hopefully in this new era, we will conduct it on full stomachs.”
You are wrong there my friend, we will not be demanding democratic reforms with full stomachs!  Whatever economic recovery President Mugabe achieves it will not go beyond the artificial glass-celling set by his regime’s failure to hold free and fair elections, proof that Zanu PF is still a party of lawless thugs. No one is keen to do business in a country ruled by with lawless thugs, we know this already; it is just too risky!  
President Mnangagwa regime’s political and economic success or failure will depend on whether or not it can accomplish the impossible act of eating its cake and keeping it; it can hold free elections to shake-off its lawless thugs tag earned from their Mugabe days and still hang on to absolute power. The failure to hold free and fair elections is the regime Achilles heel!  

5 comments:

  1. Mugabe never said the US$15 billion was swindled in one year!

    There is nothing little about Zimbabwe's diamond industry nor the extend of the looting that has been going on in the industry. George Charamba should not speak of matters over which he has no expert knowledge. The nation knows that there a number of Zanu PF individuals who have amassed a lot of wealth from illegal sources.

    Even if the figure looted was less than US$15 billion the point is the looting was taking place and nothing was done to arrest those involved and not a single dollar has ever been recovered! The looting has continued to this day.

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  2. Every time Professor Jonathan Moyo's name is mentioned, make no mistake about it, President Emmerson Mnangagwa, VP Chiwenga and the rest of the Zanu PF regime shiver uncontrollably because they fear what the nutty professor is going to say about them. They shiver for good reason too, they all know the professor knows their dirty secrets in great and damaging detail!

    Anyone who can be awake to watch the BBC HardTalk programme must watch it; it will be well worth the wait!

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  3. Part 1 of 2

    I agree, if President Mnangagwa fails to all implement the democratic reforms which is increasingly unlikely to happen for two big reasons:

    1) There is no way President Mnangagwa much less his hardliner Zanu PF colleagues, particularly those in the Army and war veterans who have no clue what the consequences of failing to hold free and fair elections are, will ever accept the reality of Zanu PF losing power. They simply will not allow free and fair elections to take place, period.

    2) Even if Mnangagwa could trick his cronies into accepting free and fair elections, by giving them the repeated assurance that with the opposition in shambles Zanu PF can win free and fair elections (Chiwenga and others may not be smart enough to realise that once implemented the reforms will be near impossible to reverse and thus reducing the chances of him rigging future elections to remain in power.) The reforms are far too many to be drafted, debated and meaningfully implemented in the remaining six months before the elections.

    So, it is a certainty that President Mnangagwa will not implement any democratic reforms before this year’s elections. However, because of the residual goodwill in the regime for removing Mugabe and the shamble state in the opposition camp, it is possible that many people will vote for Zanu PF freely without the regime resorting to any of its usual dirty tricks. What then?


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  4. Part 2 of 2

    Whilst it is true that failure to implement even one reform will be proof that Zanu PF is still a nation ruled by lawless thugs. Zanu PF leaders and its army of apologists would argue that they are not thugs because there is no evidence of any election malpractice, as for implementing the reforms they will do so; they did not have the time to do so before the elections. Some SADC leaders will buy that and grant the regime legitimacy, especially if the regime produced a useable voters’ roll and other stuff.

    The international community and the would-be foreign investors will not be so easily fooled, they will keep their money in their pockets and the economic recovery will never recover to its real and full potential. At this point the electorate will get restless and Zanu PF will start turning the authoritarian screw to retain power, showing the party’s true thuggish character. The nation will be back to fighting for democracy and in an empty stomach, as you rightly said. The nation would have wasted five or ten years to get back to the state of affairs it was in just before the coup.

    The nation can serve itself the pain of wasted decade if the people were to insist on Zanu PF implementing the reforms BEFORE the elections or else they will reject the flawed elections. SADC leaders will have no problem rejecting the election if they are convinced the people of Zimbabwe are finally taking the regional leaders’ advice not to take part in flawed elections with the seriousness and urgency the matter demands.

    The task of getting the people to boycott the flawed elections is going to be a tough one given that the Zimbabwe electorate are not amiable to reason and when they are, will find short-term gains more appealing than the long terms ones. And to make matters worse all meaningful dialogue with the electorate is stymied by the opposition politicians who have already decided to contest the elections regardless how flawed and illegal the process happens to be.

    Since the 2008 elections when Tsvangirai withdraw from the run-off in the face of wanton violence by Zanu PF; SADC leaders responded by refusing to accept the result as legitimate. Zanu PF was forced to accept the need to implement the democratic reforms and to unite with MDC to form the GNU which was tasked to implement the reforms. Zanu PF has since learned that as long as it allowed the opposition to win some gravy train seats it will never again have to worry about the opposition boycott. MDC will contest the election to win these give away seats.

    It is ironic that since 2008 it was Morgan Tsvangirai and his MDC friends, not Mugabe and his Zanu PF cronies, who have undermined the nation’s hopes of implementing the democratic reforms and achieve free, fair and credible election by failing to implement the reform during the GNU and, afterwards, by insisting on contesting the flawed elections against all sound advice and in violation of their own party “No reform, no election!” resolutions.

    This is more than ironic, it is tragic. Worse still, the electorate are blind to it all and they continue to follow corrupt, incompetent and sell-out opposition leaders like Tsvangirai and Biti like sheep to the slaughter!

    “To flirt with rescue when one has no intention of being saved!” A poignant line from “Send In the Clowns”!

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  5. It was a waste of BBC HardTalk time! She was supposed to ask him hard questions such as Is it true Mugabe lost the 2008 elections but stayed because he authorised a de facto coup to stop Tsvangirai and MDC assuming power? She even failed to nail Moyo on corruption charges although he has already admitted to misusing $400 000! What a waste of time!

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