The worsening
economic situation in SA is forcing ANC to revisit its indifference to Zimbabwe’s
curse of rigged elections and bad governance. SA cannot afford a new wave of
economic and/or political refugees flooding across the Limpopo River if Zimbabwe’s
2023 elections are rigged!
“The unemployment
rate in South Africa hit a new record high of nearly 35% in the third quarter
of 2021 which some allege had an influence on the African National Congress
(ANC) dismal performance in last year's local government elections,” wrote
Tapiwa Gomo in Bulawayo 24.
“For the first time since
1994 - when South Africa attained independence - the ANC garnered less than 50%
- in fact 46% - of the vote marking its worst result in 27 years.
“The ruling ANC has responded to this, partly by targeting foreigners who the
ruling party and others accuse of many things including taking jobs and
economic opportunities from locals, illegal migration, crime, drug dealing and
all sorts of ills.
“Some special permits have been scrapped.”
Many Zimbabweans
have sort refuge in SA to escaped political oppression and/or economic chaos
back home starting at the turn of the century in 2000. The situation in Zimbabwe
has got progressively worse not better over the years forcing even more
Zimbabweans to leave the country.
If next year’s
elections are rigged, signs are Zanu PF is rigging these elections, then we can
be sure of a new wave of economic and/or political refugees leaving the
country.
The economic situation
in SA, the most popular destination for Zimbabwean refugees, means many will
not be welcomed there anymore! The pressure for Zimbabwe to sort out its
economic and political mess is that much greater. The pressure on the regional
leaders, notably SA, to make sure Zimbabwe sort out its problems is that much
greater too.
SADC leaders know
the root cause of Zimbabwe’s economic and political mess is the country’s
failure to hold free, fair and credible elections. After decades of rigged
elections SADC leaders pressured Zanu PF to sign the 2008 Global Political
Agreement, agreeing to the implementation of a raft of political reforms to end
the culture of rigged elections.
Sadly, MDC, Zimbabwe’s
main opposition party led by the late Morgan Tsvangirai turned out to be
corrupt and breathtakingly incompetent. They failed to implement even one
meaningful reform in five years of the 2008 to 2013 GNU. SADC leaders made one
last minute bid to have the 2013 Zimbabwe elections postponed until reforms
were implemented and, once again, MDC leaders paid no heed.
Zanu PF went on to
blatantly rig the 2013 elections as SADC leaders had predicted. The region
leaders ignored the rigging and endorsed Zanu PF’s electoral victory – Zanu PF
was the only game in town and it was futile to pretend otherwise.
However, endorsing
Zanu PF rigged elections and perpetuating the pariah state across the Limpopo
River in 2013 and 2018 has not brought the desire economic recovery as we can
see. President Cyril Ramaphosa will be damned if he will repeat the same folly
of endorsing yet another rigged Zanu PF elections next year especially if the
next thing is a flood of economic and political refugees pouring into SA.
There are Zimbabweans
who know and understand SADC leaders’ disappointment with MDC leaders’ failure
to implement the democratic reforms during the last GNU. They know and
understand implementing the reforms is Zimbabwe’s ticket out of this
hell-on-earth Zanu PF landed the nation into. They will implement the reforms and
all they need is the opportunity to do so.
By
refusing to endorse Zanu PF rigged 2023 elections, SADC will recreate the same
political crisis of no legitimate government that led to the formation of 2008
to 2013 GNU in Zimbabwe. The subtle difference is that the new GNU will have
competent men and women who will implement the reforms.