Primary purpose of Tagwirei leak audio was to announce he is the kingmaker and soon to be crowned king. W Mukori

 CAB 3: The Constitutional Bypass Project: 

 (Money, Succession, and the Attempt to Replace the People) 

 By Reason Wafawarova 

Let us be very clear. Line upon line. Fact upon fact. Precept upon precept.

The leaked audio around Kudakwashe Tagwirei is not an artificial intelligence fabrication.

Neither is it an accidental leak. And certainly not a mere betrayal by Passion Java, or by his brother. 

That part requires common sense more than forensic science.

Passion Java may be many things, but he is not foolish enough to secretly record a politically connected businessman like Tagwirei and personally leak the conversation.

The structure of the leak itself tells a different story. The detailed third-party narration, the near-photographic recollection of conversations, the sequencing of information, and the selective disclosure all point in one direction:

This was designed for public consumption. It was meant to leak.

The narration itself is the mechanism of the leak.

Too much detail was provided for this to have been an accidental gossip session gone wrong.

Far too much strategic information was disclosed for a simple recruitment conversation with a self-styled youth mobiliser.

No. The objective was to communicate something.

And what the audio communicates is not merely factional gossip inside ZANU–PF. It communicates the existence of a political project.

A succession project. A constitutional project. A power-capturing project.

The mistake many analysts are making is to assume that CAB 3 is fundamentally about extending the term of Emmerson Mnangagwa by a few years.

That is merely the packaging. CAB 3 is not principally about Mnangagwa. Mnangagwa is the vehicle.

The real target is succession. More specifically, the real target is preventing Constantino Chiwenga from naturally succeeding Mnangagwa through either party structures or a direct presidential election.

That is the core issue silently sitting underneath the entire project.

And once one understands that, everything else begins to make sense.

The leaked audio essentially paints Chiwenga as the major obstacle to a financially engineered succession arrangement.

He represents something dangerous to the project: a liberation war pedigree, institutional influence, military relationships, and a claim to succession that cannot easily be purchased or manufactured through money alone.

That is the nightmare.

Because money can buy influence, but it struggles against entrenched liberation legitimacy combined with military networks.

And so CAB 3 emerges not simply as a constitutional amendment exercise, but as a succession rerouting mechanism.

The people themselves become part of the obstacle. That is why the democratic process suddenly appears inconvenient.

A direct presidential election carries risks. Citizens are unpredictable. Public emotion cannot always be purchased with precision. National campaigns are expensive, volatile, and dangerous for elite succession planning.

But Parliament? Parliament is manageable.

Far easier to influence. Far easier to finance. Far easier to negotiate with.

And so the temptation emerges to reduce presidential succession from a national democratic process into an elite parliamentary transaction.

Allow Zimbabweans to vote for MPs.

Then allow MPs to choose the President.

Simple. Elegant. Efficient. And entirely convenient for those with enough financial muscle to dominate parliamentary politics.

This is why CAB 3 increasingly appears less like constitutional reform and more like constitutional bypass engineering.

The people are not being removed from politics entirely. That would create outrage. They are simply being repositioned further away from the ultimate decision-making point.

They may still vote. Just not where it matters most.

That is the sophistication of modern power capture. It rarely abolishes democracy openly. It merely dilutes it carefully.

First came Resolution Number One inside ZANU-PF.

Then came the carefully choreographed “consensus.”

Then came CAB 3 itself, introducing constitutional implications that stretch far beyond the public justification used to market it.

And quietly, almost casually, internal party constitutional barriers were already pushed aside to open strategic doors for Tagwirei into top party structures.

What was once politically impossible suddenly became administratively manageable.

That is how power transitions happen in modern African politics. Not through dramatic coups alone, but through gradual institutional redesign.

Step by step. Obstacle by obstacle. Barrier by barrier.

The irony is almost poetic. Zimbabwe fought a liberation struggle insisting that political authority belongs to the people. Now sections of its elite appear fascinated by the idea of removing the people from the decisive part of presidential selection.

Apparently the masses are useful for rallies, slogans, and liberation songs — but somewhat inconvenient when it comes to choosing leaders independently.

Naturally, such a project requires defenders. And Zimbabwe has no shortage of politically rentable voices.

Enter Ace Lumumba, the energetic grandmaster of eloquent confusion. Enter Temba Mliswa, permanently available for political combat operations. Enter Jonathan Moyo, perhaps the finest intellectual mercenary Zimbabwean politics has ever produced.

Each performs a role. One manufactures outrage. Another manufactures justification. Another manufactures intellectual vocabulary sophisticated enough to make dangerous things sound constitutional.

Together they form a modern political support industry where ideology has largely been replaced by consultancy.

What liberation movements once achieved through conviction is now increasingly pursued through invoices.

But the entire project rests on one dangerous assumption:

That everything can eventually be bought.

That institutions can be pacified indefinitely.

That military structures can be financially neutralised forever.

That political elites can permanently subordinate ambition to patronage.

That citizens can endlessly tolerate exclusion provided the language of constitutionalism remains polished enough.

History rarely supports such confidence.

Because money has limits. It can purchase compliance. It can purchase silence. It can even purchase temporary loyalty.

But it struggles to purchase legitimacy permanently.

And legitimacy remains the one commodity every political project eventually requires.

Especially succession projects.

Especially those attempting to replace popular sovereignty with elite management.

The leaked audio matters not because somebody spoke recklessly in private.

It matters because it exposed, perhaps unintentionally, how sections of Zimbabwe’s elite increasingly imagine power itself:

Not as a mandate entrusted by citizens. But as an asset to be acquired, managed, transferred, secured, and protected financially.

That is the real story Zimbabweans are hearing inside the audio.

Not merely gossip. Not merely factionalism.

But the possibility that CAB 3 is ultimately an attempt to sideline both the people and the man perceived as the natural successor — all in one carefully engineered constitutional movement.

And that is why the conversation around CAB 3 will not disappear easily.

Because once citizens suspect that constitutional reform is no longer about governance, but about managing succession and neutralising electoral uncertainty, every amendment begins to look less like lawmaking and more like political engineering.

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A very good read.

Still, there are some serious contradictions.

“The real target is succession. More specifically, the real target is preventing Constantino Chiwenga from naturally succeeding Mnangagwa through either party structures or a direct presidential election,” you said.

“That is the core issue silently sitting underneath the entire project.

“He represents something dangerous to the project: a liberation war pedigree, institutional influence, military relationships, and a claim to succession that cannot easily be purchased or manufactured through money alone.”

Many Zimbabweans who believe the Army is the real power behind the throne in Zimbabwe, would agree with you. They have often quoted Army Commander Zvinavashe “We will not salute anyone with no liberation war credentials” on the eve of the 2008 elections. 

Let us put aside whether the Army and war veterans are the kingmakers of merely the Zanu PF thugs’ hunting dogs, what cannot be denied is that Zanu PF have managed to stay in power for 46 years and counting by rigging the elections with the help of the Army, Police, CIO, ZEC, judiciary and many other compromised state institutions. 

Mugabe, Mnangagwa and all the other Zanu PF leaders have brain-washed war veterans, personal in the Army, Police, etc. with liberation war credentials into believing “Zanu PF ichatonga kusvika madongi amera nyanga!” (Zanu PF will rule until donkey have horns!) by virtue of conquest!   

“The irony is almost poetic. Zimbabwe fought a liberation struggle insisting that political authority belongs to the people. Now sections of its elite appear fascinated by the idea of removing the people from the decisive part of presidential selection,” you latter stated. 

Zanu PF has never ever held free, fair and credible elections. Never ever! How can the Zanu PF elite take away from the people something they have never had. 

Elections in Zimbabwe have been a charade. Both SADC and AU election observers dismissed Zimbabwe’s 2023 elections as flawed and illegal. Mnangagwa was equally dismissive of them. 

The ordinary Zimbabweans had no say in the drafting and passing of this CAB3, like everything else, it is an imposition of Zanu PF ruling elite.

VP Chiwenga and many of his own close allies like Minister Sanyatwe are on record saying Zanu PF “ichatonga kusvika madongi amera nyanga!” - proof he is sold to the mart the party has the divine right to rule Zimbabwe. He has toned that rhetoric down in the face of the on going fight to force Mnangagwa to step down. 

Chiwenga has been promising to hold free and fair elections if CAB3 was blocked. Only the usual naive and gullible people believe he risk losing power by holding free and fair election. 

The primary purpose of the leaked audio was to show the world that Kudakwashe Tagwirei was the kingmaker and soon to be the king in Zimbabwe! And the guest list at his son's wedding spoke volumes of his power and influence in Zimbabwe.